StudioMETR's Ryan Greenblatt estimates AI is now speeding up AI research by 4.5x, five months ahead of AI 2027's prediction
Original title: METR's Ryan Greenblatt estimates AI is now speeding up AI by 4.5x. This is 5 months earlier than even AI 2027 predicted. "I was seriously wrong about RSI speed up ... This is a big update towards ASI within 1-2 years."
METR's Ryan Greenblatt estimates AI is now speeding up AI research by 4.5x, five months earlier than even AI 2027 predicted. He says he was seriously wrong about RSI speed-up and calls this a big update toward ASI within 1-2 years.
Why it matters
Ryan Greenblatt of METR raises his estimate of AI accelerating AI R&D to 4.5x and revises his own view on RSI timing, from the researcher himself.
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