StudioYour agent isn't dumb, it's just doing multiplication: a 20-step workflow at 95% per-step success only works 36% of the time
Original title: your agent isn’t dumb, it’s just doing multiplication
The author explains why agents fall apart on long chains using simple probability: at 95% per-step success, a 5-step workflow succeeds 77% of the time, 10 steps 60%, and 20 steps just 36%. Their fixes include keeping tasks small, checking output after each step, and requiring a human click for irreversible actions like emails, payments, or deletions.
Why it matters
The author uses probability math to show how failure compounds across multi-step agent chains, with transferable practices for task decomposition, step-level checks, and human confirmation.
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