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GitHub Octoverse 2026：合并 PR 月均 2.2 亿，一年内增长两倍

原标题：GitHub Octoverse 2026

GitHub 在 GitHub Universe 上发布 Octoverse 2026 报告。2026 年合并 PR 在不到一年内增至每月 2.2 亿，提交数增长两倍多至每月 73.8 亿（增幅主要在下半年），新仓库创建率翻倍至每月 3030 万。报告还按 NAICS 行业分类（用微调多语言嵌入模型对公开仓库样本分类），并新增了涉及互操作或逆向工程的仓库统计，方法论中提到用 LLM 分类从用户资料中提取国家代码以修正 VPN 造成的偏差。

为什么值得看

作者亲历 GitHub Universe 现场，整理了 Octoverse 2026 的关键数据和方法论说明，读者可据此了解智能体工程对开发活动的影响。

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原文

28th October 2026 - Link Blog

GitHub Octoverse 2026. I'm at GitHub Universe today (GitHub gave me a free ticket through their "GitHub Stars" program). EVP Jay Parikh just announced this year's Octoverse report, and highlighted these numbers in particular:

Photo of a conference keynote stage: a wide curved screen shows three line charts side by side, with a speaker in a black sweater and dark jeans standing at its right edge beneath an overhead lighting rig. Each chart has a large colored headline number above it and a shaded line that runs low and nearly flat across the left side, then curves sharply upward on the right to end in a dot at its peak. Left, in green: "220M" "Merged PRs per month", y-axis 0M, 50M, 100M, 150M, 200M. Middle, in magenta: "7.38B" "Commits per month", y-axis 0B, 2B, 4B, 6B, with the most dramatic, almost vertical final spike. Right, in orange: "30.3M" "New repos per month", y-axis 0M, 10M, 20M, 30M, with a bumpier, more gradual climb. All three share the x-axis labels '23, '24, '25, '26.

This is a pretty stark representation of the impact of agentic engineering on GitHub. In 2026, merged pull requests tripled in less than a year to 220 million per month. Commits more than tripled to 7.38 billion per month, with most of that increase in the second half of this year. New repository rate doubled this year, to 30.3 million per month.

The report includes new numbers by industry, and breaks out numbers for repositories that involve "interoperability or reverse engineering". The methodology section includes notes about how they did this:

Top countries by pushes to public repositories, adjusted by profile location. Pushes from each country were summed across the Octoverse year. To adjust for biases caused by VPN usage, LLM classification was used to extract the ISO 3166-1 alpha-2 code from the profiles of GitHub users who contributed pushes during this period [...]

Industry. Public repositories created 2022 to 2026 were sorted into NAICS sectors by a fine-tuned multilingual embedding model using name, description, topics, and README, from random samples per year. [...]

Interoperability. Counts public repositories created each year whose name, description, topics, or README mention interoperability or reverse engineering, or related terms, such as clean room implementation, drop-in replacement, or protocol re-implementation.

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